L’École des cotesFrançais
Botafogo v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo (Local)
Prévision 40.34%2.48cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.23%40.33%40.28%41.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.272.282.4045.87%43.96%43.86%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.67%3.49cote équitable
EV +0.335%
Avantage +0.096%
Kelly +0.134%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.85%28.59%28.72%30.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.89%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.00%3.23cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.00%31.07%30.99%32.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.59%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -2.25%E -0.658%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.66%EV -5.77%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.63%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:06 |
| BetUS | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.31%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |