L’École des cotes

Botafogo v Athletic Club (MG)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 22:00 UTC

Score final : Botafogo 1–2 Athletic Club (MG)

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Prévision 43.30%2.31cote équitable
EV -4.74%
Avantage -2.15%
Kelly -3.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.42%43.52%43.16%46.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.142.2051.28%47.29%46.73%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.07%3.99cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.095%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.85%24.77%25.20%26.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.733.764.2130.30%26.82%26.56%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.63%3.16cote équitable
EV -5.11%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.59%31.71%31.65%33.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.56%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.85%EV +5.53%E +1.31%K +1.72%G +0.095%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.40%EV -6.06%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 21:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV +0.266%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -12.07%E -4.34%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV +0.266%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -12.07%E -4.34%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 21:49
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +0.266%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:49
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.24%E -0.574%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 21:50
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.91%EV -11.66%E -5.72%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -2.24%E -0.574%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -15.56%E -7.98%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.24%E -0.574%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.66%E -5.72%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.49%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 21:49
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.92%EV -12.53%E -6.20%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -3.49%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 21:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 21:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 21:49
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 21:48
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 21:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 21:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 21:49
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.20%E -3.87%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -5.25%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.24%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 21:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.26%EV -9.22%E -3.21%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 21:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.64%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 21:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.64%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 21:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.14%EV -7.77%E -3.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.03%E -2.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 21:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 21:49
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 21:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 21:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 21:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 21:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 21:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.27%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 21:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.27%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 21:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.27%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-25 21:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -17.28%E -5.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -14.60%E -5.41%K -8.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-25 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-25 21:50