مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Athletic Club (MG)

البداية: 2026-05-25 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Botafogo 1–2 Athletic Club (MG)

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 43.30%2.31السعر العادل
EV -4.74%
الأفضلية -2.15%
Kelly -3.95%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.42%43.52%43.16%46.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.112.142.2051.28%47.29%46.73%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.07%3.99السعر العادل
EV +5.53%
الأفضلية +1.31%
Kelly +1.72%
النمو +0.095%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.85%24.77%25.20%26.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.733.764.2130.30%26.82%26.56%23.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.63%3.16السعر العادل
EV -5.11%
الأفضلية -1.70%
Kelly -2.55%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.59%31.71%31.65%33.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.892.903.0037.04%34.56%34.48%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 44.75%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.85%EV +5.53%E +1.31%K +1.72%G +0.095%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.40%EV -6.06%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 21:40
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV +0.266%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -12.07%E -4.34%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV +0.266%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.80%EV -12.07%E -4.34%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 21:49
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV +0.266%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:49
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -9.93%E -4.77%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -0.987%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 21:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.24%E -0.574%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 21:50
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 44.91%EV -11.66%E -5.72%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -2.24%E -0.574%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 21:49
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.27%EV -15.56%E -7.98%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -2.24%E -0.574%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.59%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.78%EV -11.66%E -5.72%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -3.49%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 21:49
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.92%EV -12.53%E -6.20%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -3.49%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.51%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 21:50
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 21:50
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 21:49
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 21:48
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 21:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 21:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -13.40%E -6.70%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -4.75%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 21:49
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.20%E -3.87%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.71%EV -5.25%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.24%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 21:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.26%EV -9.22%E -3.21%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 21:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.64%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 21:50
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.00%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.64%E -2.62%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 21:50
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.14%EV -7.77%E -3.65%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.51%E -2.33%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%EV -8.27%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.03%E -2.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 21:50
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 21:49
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 21:49
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 21:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.74%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 21:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -6.69%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 21:50
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.76%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 21:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.10%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 21:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -12.27%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.85%E -3.46%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 21:50
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.27%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.90%E -3.09%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 21:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.14%EV -11.23%E -5.48%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -12.27%E -3.50%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-25 21:50
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:50
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.77%E -4.35%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.43%E -4.08%K -6.35%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -9.07%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -17.28%E -5.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -14.60%E -5.41%K -8.59%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-25 21:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%0.8%2026-05-25 21:50
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-25 21:50