The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Botafogo-SP v Cuiabá

2026-08-29 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botafogo-SP (Local)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -7.13%
Edge -3.37%
Kelly -6.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%43.80%43.80%44.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.122.1250.00%48.11%47.17%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cuiabá (Visit)

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%25.31%25.31%25.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.613.703.7028.99%27.69%27.03%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.89%3.24fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.65%30.89%30.89%30.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.983.053.0535.09%33.61%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Botafogo-SP (Local): 43.80%; Cuiabá (Visit): 25.31%; Draw: 30.89%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -5.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:15
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:14
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -7.13%E -3.37%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -5.80%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 22:14
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.80%EV -8.89%E -4.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.89%EV -8.89%E -3.01%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 22:14
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -10.64%E -5.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.15%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.74%EV -10.64%E -5.21%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.43%E -3.60%K -5.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 22:14
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.89%EV -11.51%E -5.70%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.78%EV -11.05%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-22 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.39%E -6.20%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.68%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -12.39%E -6.20%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -12.68%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -11.97%E -4.20%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 22:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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