Language:English
Botafogo-SP v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.53%40.99%40.81%44.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.202.3950.00%44.98%45.45%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -0.773%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.27%26.45%26.51%27.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.483.7030.77%28.83%28.74%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.50%32.56%32.68%33.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.26%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botafogo-SP (Local): 40.97%; Cuiabá (Visit): 26.46%; Draw: 32.57%. For Botafogo-SP (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.39, with an expected value of -2.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.934%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.79%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -2.09%E -0.564%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.15%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.45%EV -6.18%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.67%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 20:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.20%EV -9.05%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -11.51%E -5.33%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.46%EV -15.61%E -7.58%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.46%EV -15.61%E -7.58%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -18.06%E -9.03%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.85% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |