Idioma:Español
Botafogo-SP v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Predicción 40.97%2.44momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.53%40.99%40.81%44.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.202.3950.00%44.98%45.45%41.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 26.46%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.564%
Kelly -0.773%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.27%26.45%26.51%27.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.473.483.7030.77%28.83%28.74%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.50%32.56%32.68%33.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.26%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Botafogo-SP (Local): 40.97%; Cuiabá (Visitante): 26.46%; Empate: 32.57%. Para Botafogo-SP (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.44. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.39, con un valor esperado de -2.09%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.934%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 21:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.79%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -2.09%E -0.564%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.15%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.45%EV -6.18%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.67%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 20:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.20%EV -9.05%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -11.51%E -5.33%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.46%EV -15.61%E -7.58%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.46%EV -15.61%E -7.58%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -18.06%E -9.03%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-29 20:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.85% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 21:20 |