默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Botafogo-SP v Cuiabá

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 21:29 UTC

最终结果: Botafogo-SP 1–2 Cuiabá

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Botafogo-SP (主队)

预测 40.97%2.44公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.873%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.39

博彩公司预测分布
39.53%40.99%40.81%44.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.222.202.3950.00%44.98%45.45%41.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cuiabá (客队)

预测 26.46%3.78公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.564%
Kelly -0.773%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.27%26.45%26.51%27.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.473.483.7030.77%28.83%28.74%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 32.57%3.07公平赔率
EV -2.29%
优势 -0.764%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.00

博彩公司预测分布
30.50%32.56%32.68%33.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.26%35.09%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Botafogo-SP (主队):40.97%;Cuiabá (客队):26.46%;平局:32.57%。 对于“Botafogo-SP (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.39,期望值为-2.09%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.29%EV -2.09%E -0.873%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.38%EV -3.41%E -0.934%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.32%EV -5.88%E -2.03%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 21:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 21:25
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.79%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.02%EV -2.09%E -0.564%K -0.773%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.88%EV -3.32%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 21:25
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.15%EV -4.54%E -1.95%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.03%EV -8.44%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 21:25
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 21:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 21:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -5.77%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.45%EV -6.18%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 21:25
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 21:25
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 21:25
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.88%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 21:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 21:25
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 21:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 21:25
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.00%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 21:25
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -8.23%E -3.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -9.46%E -3.40%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 20:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.20%EV -9.05%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 20:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 20:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.29%E -0.764%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 20:54
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 21:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 20:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.87%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-29 20:50
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -10.69%E -4.90%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 21:25
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.26%EV -11.51%E -5.33%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.06%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.03%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 21:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.92%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -7.18%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -13.97%E -6.65%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -8.81%E -3.15%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-29 21:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.46%EV -15.61%E -7.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.46%EV -15.61%E -7.58%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -10.03%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.81%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 21:25
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -18.06%E -9.03%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -5.55%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-29 20:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%0.7%2026-08-29 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%0.7%2026-08-29 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-08-29 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%1.1%2026-08-29 21:20
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.80%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35%2.0%2026-08-29 21:20