Langue:Français
Botafogo-SP v Criciuma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prévision 39.52%2.53cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.63%39.37%39.50%40.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.57%42.55%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Criciuma (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.22%3.54cote équitable
EV -0.663%
Avantage -0.188%
Kelly -0.263%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.91%28.34%28.07%30.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.853.193.203.5235.09%31.39%31.25%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 32.26%3.10cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.08%32.29%32.43%33.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.852.852.9536.36%35.10%35.09%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo-SP (Local) : 39.52% ; Criciuma (Visiteur) : 28.22% ; Match nul : 32.26%. Pour Criciuma (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.52, pour une espérance de -0.663% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.60%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -0.663%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -4.36%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.37%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.32%E -3.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -16.75%E -5.68%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.73%E -2.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -8.39%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.73%E -2.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -8.39%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.73%E -2.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -8.39%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.64%E -0.765%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -16.75%E -5.68%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -18.16%E -6.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -18.16%E -6.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.37%EV -7.52%E -3.21%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -10.32%E -3.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.57%EV -9.03%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.57%EV -9.03%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -19.57%E -6.87%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -19.57%E -6.87%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-20 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81% | 1.4% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |