Idioma:Español
Botafogo-SP v Criciuma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Predicción 39.52%2.53momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.63%39.37%39.50%40.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.4544.44%42.57%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Criciuma (Visitante)
Predicción 28.22%3.54momio equitativo
EV -0.663%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.263%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%28.34%28.07%30.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.193.203.5235.09%31.39%31.25%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 32.26%3.10momio equitativo
EV -4.84%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -2.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.08%32.29%32.43%33.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.852.852.9536.36%35.10%35.09%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Botafogo-SP (Local): 39.52%; Criciuma (Visitante): 28.22%; Empate: 32.26%. Para Criciuma (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.54. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.52, con un valor esperado de -0.663%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -13.93%E -4.57%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.60%EV -3.96%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.34%EV -0.663%E -0.188%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.07%EV -6.13%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.66%EV -4.36%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.37%EV -6.78%E -2.34%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.15%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.93%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -10.32%E -3.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -5.94%E -2.50%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -16.75%E -5.68%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.73%E -2.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -8.39%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.73%E -2.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -8.39%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.92%EV -6.73%E -2.85%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.17%EV -8.39%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.14%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -2.64%E -0.765%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -4.84%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -16.75%E -5.68%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -18.16%E -6.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -7.12%E -3.03%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -18.16%E -6.26%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.37%EV -7.52%E -3.21%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -10.32%E -3.71%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 00:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.57%EV -9.03%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.57%EV -9.03%E -3.20%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -8.07%E -2.83%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -19.57%E -6.87%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.63%EV -8.31%E -3.58%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.63%EV -19.57%E -6.87%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -11.29%E -4.11%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.45%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.10%E -3.96%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.69%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.82%EV -11.95%E -3.83%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-20 00:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.10%E -2.46%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.08%E -4.92%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.68%E -3.46%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.14% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.81% | 1.4% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |