Language:English
Avai v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avai (Local)
Prediction 34.05%2.94fair odd
EV -0.581%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.303%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.02%34.20%33.94%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.652.9240.00%37.32%37.74%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.67%33.83%33.94%35.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.752.8541.67%36.62%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.07%3.12fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%31.97%32.12%33.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.872.873.0037.04%34.86%34.84%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 34.05%; Criciuma (Visit): 33.88%; Draw: 32.07%. For Avai (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -0.581%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -0.581%E -0.199%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -10.56%E -4.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.47%EV -1.94%E -0.675%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -4.80%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.23%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.92%E -3.14%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 18:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -10.45%E -3.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.98%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -18.69%E -7.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-30 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.40% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 19:00 |