L’École des cotes

Avai v Criciuma

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 19:02 UTC

Score final : Avai 1–2 Criciuma

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Avai (Local)

Prévision 34.05%2.94cote équitable
EV -0.581%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.303%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.02%34.20%33.94%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.682.652.9240.00%37.32%37.74%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Criciuma (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.88%2.95cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.67%33.83%33.94%35.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.752.8541.67%36.62%36.36%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.07%3.12cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%31.97%32.12%33.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.872.873.0037.04%34.86%34.84%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -0.581%E -0.199%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -10.56%E -4.00%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:00
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:00
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.47%EV -1.94%E -0.675%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -4.80%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.23%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:59
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 19:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:59
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 19:00
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.92%E -3.14%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 18:59
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:58
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 19:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:59
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 18:59
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 19:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 18:59
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 18:59
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:01
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -10.45%E -3.98%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.98%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -18.69%E -7.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-30 18:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 19:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 19:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 19:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 19:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 19:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 19:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 19:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-30 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-30 19:01
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%1.4%2026-05-30 19:00
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.40%1.8%2026-05-30 19:00