A Escola das Odds

Avai v Criciuma

Início: 2026-05-30 19:02 UTC

Final: Avai 1–2 Criciuma

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Avai (Local)

Previsão 34.05%2.94odd justa
EV -0.581%
Vantagem -0.199%
Kelly -0.303%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.02%34.20%33.94%36.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.652.9240.00%37.32%37.74%34.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Criciuma (Visitante)

Previsão 33.88%2.95odd justa
EV -3.44%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.67%33.83%33.94%35.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.732.752.8541.67%36.62%36.36%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.07%3.12odd justa
EV -3.78%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.15%31.97%32.12%33.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.872.873.0037.04%34.86%34.84%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.02%EV -0.581%E -0.199%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -10.56%E -4.00%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.57%EV -7.95%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:00
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -1.26%E -0.435%K -0.664%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 19:00
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.47%EV -1.94%E -0.675%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.30%EV -4.80%E -1.71%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.23%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 18:59
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.96%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 19:00
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 18:59
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 19:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 19:00
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -8.92%E -3.14%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 18:59
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 18:58
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.97%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-30 19:00
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:59
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 19:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -6.37%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 18:59
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.39%E -2.72%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.96%EV -7.85%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 18:59
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 19:00
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -11.80%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 18:59
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.52%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.15%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.32%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 18:59
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.07%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:01
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -9.77%E -3.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -10.45%E -3.98%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -10.45%E -3.98%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -18.69%E -7.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -13.41%E -4.97%K -7.89%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-30 18:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 19:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 19:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 18:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 19:00
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.99%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 19:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 19:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 19:00
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.48%E -4.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -5.39%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -13.18%E -5.17%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.59%E -3.02%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -3.44%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 19:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -7.63%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -14.88%E -5.95%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.20%E -3.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 18:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-30 19:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-30 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%0.7%2026-05-30 19:01
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.11%1.4%2026-05-30 19:00
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 33.86%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.40%1.8%2026-05-30 19:00