Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 45.54%2.20fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.36%45.53%45.40%47.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.032.1052.36%49.23%49.26%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.60%24.76%24.83%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.37%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.72%3.37fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.66%29.71%29.77%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.38%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 45.54%; Operario PR (Visit): 24.75%; Draw: 29.72%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +1.47%E +0.358%K +0.474%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +1.47%E +0.358%K +0.474%G +0.007% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.48%EV -5.74%E -2.77%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.82%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.21%EV -1.75%E -0.441%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.21%EV -1.75%E -0.441%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 22:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.03%E -6.82%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -7.56%E -3.73%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 21:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.43%EV -5.50%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-27 21:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-27 22:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-27 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -17.09%E -5.10%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -17.09%E -5.10%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -17.09%E -5.10%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -18.33%E -5.55%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -18.33%E -5.55%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.78% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.38% | -0.2% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |