La escuela de los momios

Atletico Goianiense v Operario PR

2026-07-27 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Predicción 45.85%2.18momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.81%45.85%45.86%47.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.54%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Operario PR (Visitante)

Predicción 25.22%3.96momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.533%
Kelly +0.708%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.57%25.11%25.19%27.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.504.0530.77%27.93%28.57%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.92%3.46momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -1.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.83%29.04%28.95%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.153.3034.48%31.73%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV +2.16%E +0.533%K +0.708%G +0.015%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -5.14%E -1.57%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 23:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -10.58%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV +0.897%E +0.224%K +0.299%G +0.003%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -16.13%E -5.56%K -8.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 23:40
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -10.12%E -5.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -0.364%E -0.092%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 06:10
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -10.12%E -5.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -0.364%E -0.092%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 06:10
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 47.42%EV -10.12%E -5.17%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -0.364%E -0.092%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 06:10
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.60%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.72%EV -0.868%E -0.221%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -9.19%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 23:58
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -11.50%E -5.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -1.63%E -0.417%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 23:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -10.58%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.15%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 01:14
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 23:54
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.66%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 23:54
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 00:49
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 00:49
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 00:49
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.41%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -13.24%E -4.41%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 00:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 23:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.67%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 23:54
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 08:10
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -4.62%E -2.22%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 08:10
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.58%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 23:55
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -10.58%E -5.43%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 23:54
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.47%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 23:55
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:54
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:55
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:55
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:55
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:55
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -3.70%E -1.76%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.01%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 19:55
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 08:10
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 08:10
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.56%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 10:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 22:43
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -12.42%E -6.50%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-25 23:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.45%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 10:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.24%E -4.19%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:10
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -15.50%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 19:55
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -15.50%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -8.90%E -2.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 01:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -6.00%E -2.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 10:50
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -7.37%E -3.65%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.35%E -3.34%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 19:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -8.29%E -4.15%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -16.76%E -5.08%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 19:54
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -18.02%E -5.54%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -9.21%E -4.65%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -18.02%E -5.54%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.79%E -3.87%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 19:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-07-26 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%5.8%2026-07-26 06:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%5.8%2026-07-26 06:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%5.8%2026-07-26 06:04
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%6.6%2026-07-26 00:05