Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Goianiense v Operario PR

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 22:30 UTC

Score final : Atletico Goianiense 3–1 Operario PR

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prévision 45.54%2.20cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -3.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.36%45.53%45.40%47.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.032.1052.36%49.23%49.26%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Operario PR (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV +1.47%
Avantage +0.358%
Kelly +0.474%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.60%24.76%24.83%26.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.37%27.78%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.72%3.37cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.66%29.71%29.77%31.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.38%32.26%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atletico Goianiense (Local) : 45.54% ; Operario PR (Visiteur) : 24.75% ; Match nul : 29.72%. Pour Operario PR (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.04. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.47%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.13%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +1.47%E +0.358%K +0.474%G +0.007%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV +1.47%E +0.358%K +0.474%G +0.007%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 22:15
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.48%EV -5.74%E -2.77%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.82%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.70%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.21%EV -1.75%E -0.441%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -5.28%E -2.54%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.21%EV -1.75%E -0.441%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -3.42%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 21:45
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 21:55
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -4.72%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 22:23
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -13.03%E -6.82%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-27 22:15
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 22:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 21:55
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -7.56%E -3.73%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 22:20
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 21:54
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.43%EV -5.50%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 22:05
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -6.65%E -3.24%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 22:20
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-27 22:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 21:55
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 21:55
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 22:23
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -11.20%E -5.75%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 21:45
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -4.37%E -2.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -15.86%E -4.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -17.09%E -5.10%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -8.02%E -3.97%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.62%EV -17.09%E -5.10%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -9.37%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-27 22:20
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.18%EV -8.93%E -4.46%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -17.09%E -5.10%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -18.33%E -5.55%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.25%EV -9.84%E -4.97%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -18.33%E -5.55%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.78%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.38%-0.2%2026-07-27 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-07-27 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.24%0.2%2026-07-27 22:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-07-27 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-07-27 22:15