A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Athletic Club (MG) v Operario PR
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Previsão 40.07%2.50odd justa
EV -1.83%
Vantagem -0.747%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.84%40.02%40.18%43.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.332.322.4547.62%42.98%43.10%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Operario PR (Visitante)
Previsão 28.04%3.57odd justa
EV +0.372%
Vantagem +0.104%
Kelly +0.144%
Crescimento +0.001%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.58
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.82%28.11%27.85%31.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.193.203.5835.09%31.30%31.25%27.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 31.89%3.14odd justa
EV -4.32%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.82%31.87%31.97%33.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.892.883.0036.36%34.57%34.72%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV +0.372%E +0.104%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.05%EV -7.19%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.87%E -0.535%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.35%EV -9.44%E -4.18%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| BetUS | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.93%EV -7.44%E -3.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 22:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -17.29%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.08%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -18.69%E -6.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -19.25%E -6.69%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.95%EV -6.64%E -2.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.03%EV -20.09%E -7.05%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.03%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-07 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -20.09%E -7.05%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -20.09%E -7.05%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |