L’École des cotesFrançais
Athletic Club (MG) v Operario PR
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 40.07%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.747%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.84%40.02%40.18%43.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.322.4547.62%42.98%43.10%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Operario PR (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.04%3.57cote équitable
EV +0.372%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.144%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%28.11%27.85%31.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.193.203.5835.09%31.30%31.25%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.89%3.14cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%31.87%31.97%33.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.892.883.0036.36%34.57%34.72%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.87%EV +0.372%E +0.104%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.05%EV -7.19%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -1.87%E -0.535%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.35%EV -9.44%E -4.18%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -3.27%E -0.949%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57%EV -5.59%E -1.89%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| BetUS | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.93%EV -7.44%E -3.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.67%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.64%E -3.79%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.08%E -1.81%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -7.48%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.88%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.85%E -4.38%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.28%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.68%E -3.71%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-07 22:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -11.85%E -5.39%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.09%E -4.22%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -8.46%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -1.83%E -0.747%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -7.84%E -3.41%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -15.89%E -5.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -3.83%E -1.60%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -17.29%E -5.86%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.08%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -18.69%E -6.45%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.14%E -2.83%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -19.25%E -6.69%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.95%EV -6.64%E -2.85%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.03%EV -20.09%E -7.05%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.03%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-07 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -20.09%E -7.05%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -7.04%E -3.03%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -20.09%E -7.05%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.66% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 22:55 |