Language:English
Athletic Club (MG) v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prediction 35.45%2.82fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.99%35.51%35.44%38.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.542.552.7643.10%39.35%39.22%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 30.84%3.24fair odd
EV +1.76%
Edge +0.532%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%30.77%30.76%32.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.043.003.3038.02%32.85%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.71%2.97fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%33.71%33.80%35.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.47%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Club (MG) (Local): 35.45%; Cuiabá (Visit): 30.84%; Draw: 33.71%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV +0.215%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -15.62%E -6.56%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV +0.215%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -16.68%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -1.33%E -0.414%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -16.68%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -1.33%E -0.414%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.26%EV -3.21%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.36%EV -2.25%E -0.710%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -5.34%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -5.64%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -9.66%E -3.60%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 20:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.53%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.53%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 20:33 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.04%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -18.90%E -7.19%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 20:45 |