La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Athletic Club (MG) v Cuiabá
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 35.45%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -0.777%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.99%35.51%35.44%38.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.542.552.7643.10%39.35%39.22%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cuiabá (Visitante)
Predicción 30.84%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.76%
Ventaja +0.532%
Kelly +0.764%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%30.77%30.76%32.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.043.003.3038.02%32.85%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.71%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%33.71%33.80%35.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.47%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV +0.215%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -15.62%E -6.56%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV +0.215%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -16.68%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -1.33%E -0.414%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -16.68%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -1.33%E -0.414%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.26%EV -3.21%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.36%EV -2.25%E -0.710%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -5.34%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -5.64%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| BetUS | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 20:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 20:34 |
| Bovada | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -9.66%E -3.60%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 20:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.53%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.53%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 20:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.04%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 20:29 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 20:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -18.90%E -7.19%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-09 20:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37% | 0.2% | 2026-05-09 20:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 20:45 |