A Escola das Odds

Athletic Club (MG) v Cuiabá

Início: 2026-05-09 21:00 UTC

Final: Athletic Club (MG) 0–0 Cuiabá

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Local)

Previsão 35.45%2.82odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -0.777%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.99%35.51%35.44%38.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.322.542.552.7643.10%39.35%39.22%36.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cuiabá (Visitante)

Previsão 30.84%3.24odd justa
EV +1.76%
Vantagem +0.532%
Kelly +0.764%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%30.77%30.76%32.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.633.043.003.3038.02%32.85%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.71%2.97odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.56%33.71%33.80%35.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.742.752.8838.46%36.47%36.36%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:50
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:50
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:49
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:50
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:49
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV +1.76%E +0.532%K +0.764%G +0.013%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 20:50
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.59%EV -13.85%E -5.70%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV +0.215%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.56%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 20:44
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -15.62%E -6.56%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV +0.215%E +0.066%K +0.096%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -16.68%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -1.33%E -0.414%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 20:49
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -16.68%E -7.10%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -1.33%E -0.414%K -0.603%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 20:49
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.26%EV -3.21%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.36%EV -2.25%E -0.710%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.38%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-09 20:45
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 20:50
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 20:49
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -17.75%E -7.65%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -2.87%E -0.911%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 20:49
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 34.99%EV -5.34%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.53%EV -5.64%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.19%K -5.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 20:50
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.09%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 20:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.74%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -5.95%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 20:25
BetOnline.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 20:54
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 20:54
BetUS2.76I 36.23%NM 33.99%EV -2.15%E -0.777%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 20:54
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:29
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 20:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 20:34
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.34%EV -9.66%E -3.60%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 20:53
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.53%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 20:24
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.61%EV -8.53%E -3.31%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 20:24
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 20:24
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 20:24
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 20:24
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 20:24
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 20:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -7.11%E -2.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -7.49%E -2.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 20:33
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.04%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 20:29
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -4.27%E -1.58%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 20:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.82%E -3.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.58%E -3.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 20:55
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -9.59%E -3.76%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.48%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 20:24
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 20:25
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -11.19%E -3.89%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 20:24
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.66%E -4.88%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -11.36%E -4.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -18.90%E -7.19%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-09 20:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37%0.2%2026-05-09 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37%0.2%2026-05-09 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37%0.2%2026-05-09 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.37%0.2%2026-05-09 20:40
Smarkets2.92I 34.25%NM 33.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.12%1.0%2026-05-09 20:45