Language:English
Athletic Club (MG) v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prediction 48.45%2.06fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.49%48.40%48.48%51.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.901.922.0057.14%52.52%52.22%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.571%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.09%22.45%22.36%25.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.004.004.5528.17%25.01%25.00%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.01%29.16%29.16%30.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.153.3035.71%31.82%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletic Club (MG) (Local): 48.45%; Avai (Visit): 22.42%; Draw: 29.13%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +2.03%E +0.445%K +0.571%G +0.012% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -7.07%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.22%E -8.70%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +0.904%E +0.201%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.70%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.94%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.94%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.95%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.34%E -6.20%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.34%E -6.20%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-28 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -7.95%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -11.34%E -6.20%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -18.44%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-28 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -20.40%E -5.75%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-28 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16% | 2.4% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |