مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Club (MG) v Avai

البداية: 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletic Club (MG) 1–0 Avai

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.45%2.06السعر العادل
EV -3.11%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -3.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.49%48.40%48.48%51.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.901.922.0057.14%52.52%52.22%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Avai (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.42%4.46السعر العادل
EV +2.03%
الأفضلية +0.445%
Kelly +0.571%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.09%22.45%22.36%25.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.554.004.004.5528.17%25.01%25.00%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.13%3.43السعر العادل
EV -3.87%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.01%29.16%29.16%30.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.143.153.3035.71%31.82%31.75%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.56%E -2.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.11%EV +2.03%E +0.445%K +0.571%G +0.012%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -7.07%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.22%E -8.70%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +0.904%E +0.201%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-28 18:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.70%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 18:40
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 18:39
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.84%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-28 18:50
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-28 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:49
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -5.04%E -2.57%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-28 18:49
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.83%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-28 18:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-28 18:29
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -6.50%E -3.37%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 18:48
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-28 18:49
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.94%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 18:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.26%EV -6.98%E -3.64%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -6.94%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 18:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.95%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-28 18:39
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 18:39
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.07%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-28 18:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.47%E -3.91%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:29
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:39
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-28 18:29
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -5.33%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-28 18:29
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.34%E -6.20%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 18:30
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -11.34%E -6.20%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -10.31%E -2.58%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-28 18:29
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -5.53%E -2.84%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:50
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -6.01%E -3.10%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 18:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-28 18:29
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -7.95%E -4.19%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-28 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.69%EV -11.34%E -6.20%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.52%EV -18.44%E -6.58%K -10.24%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-28 18:29
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-28 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -8.92%E -4.74%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-28 18:49
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -9.41%E -5.03%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-28 18:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-28 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.32%EV -10.37%E -5.61%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.98%EV -18.16%E -4.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.70%EV -11.15%E -3.66%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-28 18:49
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -3.11%E -1.55%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -20.40%E -5.75%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-28 18:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-28 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-06-28 18:50
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.16%2.4%2026-06-28 18:50