La scuola delle quote

Athletic Club (MG) v América Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-04-05 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Casa)

Previsione 38.22%2.62quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -0.842%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.90%38.39%38.18%41.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.352.402.5646.51%42.47%41.67%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

América Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.74%3.25quota equa
EV +2.97%
Vantaggio +0.888%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescita +0.038%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%30.55%30.79%32.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.633.083.103.3538.02%32.45%32.26%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.04%3.22quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -0.705%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.70%31.06%31.03%32.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.36%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -14.77%E -6.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +1.44%E +0.435%K +0.625%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:24
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -15.92%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:23
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -16.68%E -7.65%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 22:23
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:54
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -17.06%E -7.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:23
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 22:23
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 22:23
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 22:23
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 22:54
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.54%E -0.995%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.70%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.50%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 22:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 22:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -10.91%E -3.80%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 22:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:20
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -9.05%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:47
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:10
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.89%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 22:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:49
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 22:50
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 22:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 22:09
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 22:10
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -19.16%E -7.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 22:48
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-05 22:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22%2.4%2026-04-05 22:55