La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Athletic Club (MG) v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 38.22%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.842%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.90%38.39%38.18%41.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.402.5646.51%42.47%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 30.74%3.25momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.888%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%30.55%30.79%32.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.083.103.3538.02%32.45%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.04%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.705%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.70%31.06%31.03%32.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.36%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -14.77%E -6.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +1.44%E +0.435%K +0.625%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -15.92%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -16.68%E -7.65%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -17.06%E -7.86%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.54%E -0.995%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.70%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.50%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -10.91%E -3.80%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 22:20 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 22:20 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -9.05%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:47 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.89%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -19.16%E -7.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 22:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |