مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletic Club (MG) v América Mineiro

البداية: 2026-04-05 23:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.22%2.62السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -0.842%
Kelly -1.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.90%38.39%38.18%41.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.352.402.5646.51%42.47%41.67%39.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

América Mineiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.74%3.25السعر العادل
EV +2.97%
الأفضلية +0.888%
Kelly +1.27%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.12%30.55%30.79%32.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.633.083.103.3538.02%32.45%32.26%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.04%3.22السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.705%
Kelly -1.03%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.70%31.06%31.03%32.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.36%33.33%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 22:23
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -14.77%E -6.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +1.44%E +0.435%K +0.625%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 22:24
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -15.92%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 22:23
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -16.68%E -7.65%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 22:23
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 22:54
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -17.06%E -7.86%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 22:23
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 22:23
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 22:23
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 22:23
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 22:54
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.54%E -0.995%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.70%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.50%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 22:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 22:35
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -10.91%E -3.80%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 22:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 22:49
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 22:09
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 22:20
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 22:20
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -9.05%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:47
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 22:10
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.89%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 22:25
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 22:49
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 22:50
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 22:35
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 22:50
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 22:09
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 22:10
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -19.16%E -7.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-05 22:48
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%0.5%2026-04-05 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%0.9%2026-04-05 22:55
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22%2.4%2026-04-05 22:55