L’École des cotesFrançais
Athletic Club (MG) v América Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 38.22%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.842%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.90%38.39%38.18%41.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.402.5646.51%42.47%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
América Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.74%3.25cote équitable
EV +2.97%
Avantage +0.888%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.12%30.55%30.79%32.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.083.103.3538.02%32.45%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.04%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.705%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.70%31.06%31.03%32.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.1536.36%33.36%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -14.00%E -6.22%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV +2.97%E +0.888%K +1.27%G +0.038% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -14.77%E -6.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +1.44%E +0.435%K +0.625%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.22%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 22:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -15.92%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.92%EV -16.68%E -7.65%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -0.100%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%EV -2.16%E -0.842%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.09%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.31%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.85%EV -17.06%E -7.86%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -5.32%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -1.64%E -0.512%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 22:23 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.86%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -3.17%E -1.01%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 22:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.54%E -0.995%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.70%EV -3.48%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.50%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.35%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.53%EV -10.91%E -3.80%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.71%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 22:20 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -7.51%E -3.10%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 22:20 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -9.05%E -3.09%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:47 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -7.89%E -3.27%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-05 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -9.32%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.86%E -3.74%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.53%E -4.05%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 22:09 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.47%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 22:10 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.78%E -4.10%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -19.16%E -7.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -14.64%E -5.32%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 22:48 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.22% | 2.4% | 2026-04-05 22:55 |