Language:English
América Mineiro v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América Mineiro (Local)
Prediction 35.94%2.78fair odd
EV +0.618%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.343%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.24%35.67%35.90%36.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.602.8040.82%38.20%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -0.835%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.92%32.43%32.21%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.753.0540.00%35.89%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.84%3.14fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%31.90%31.89%32.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.873.0036.36%34.91%34.90%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América Mineiro (Local): 35.94%; Goiás (Visit): 32.23%; Draw: 31.84%. For América Mineiro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.618%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.55%EV -2.62%E -0.965%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -3.64%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.80%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -16.21%E -6.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -16.21%E -6.24%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -4.77%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -17.82%E -6.99%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-26 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.30%EV -4.77%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.61%EV -17.82%E -6.99%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.33%EV -5.49%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.33%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.24%EV -5.49%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%EV -19.44%E -7.77%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-26 20:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -15.57%E -5.94%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 20:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 21:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -17.82%E -6.99%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.56%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -1.71%E -0.561%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 21:26 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -3.97%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -10.21%E -3.62%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -3.97%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -10.21%E -3.62%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-26 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.18%EV -5.44%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -4.93%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-26 21:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-26 21:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-26 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-26 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 21:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39% | 0.5% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 21:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96% | 1.8% | 2026-07-26 21:25 |