The School of Odds

América Mineiro v Goiás

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Prediction 34.56%2.89fair odd
EV -6.69%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -3.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.30%34.56%34.56%34.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.642.702.7039%38%37%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Goiás (Visit)

Prediction 35.64%2.81fair odd
EV -7.33%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%35.64%35.64%35.96%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.602.6041%39%38%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.53%29.80%29.80%29.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.153.1534%33%32%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 21:59
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:00
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.69%E -2.48%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.33%E -2.82%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 22:00
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.56%EV -9.11%E -3.46%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -9.11%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 22:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.89%E -4.36%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-19 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.30%EV -10.15%E -3.90%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.96%EV -11.61%E -4.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-19 21:59
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -11.61%E -4.68%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-19 21:59
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.68%E -5.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 21:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.88%E -4.66%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.83%EV -12.68%E -5.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.