La escuela de los momios

América Mineiro v Goiás

2026-07-26 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

América Mineiro (Local)

Predicción 32.31%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.703%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%32.26%32.18%33.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.822.803.0538.02%35.52%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Goiás (Visitante)

Predicción 35.59%2.81momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%35.61%35.71%37.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7041.67%38.36%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.09%3.12momio equitativo
EV -5.01%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.07%32.14%32.12%33.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.852.852.9636.36%35.09%35.09%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%EV -1.44%E -0.473%K -0.703%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.72%EV -4.61%E -1.72%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.61%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 02:25
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -3.06%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -14.57%E -6.07%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 20:04
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 21:35
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 04:14
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 04:14
BetUS2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.00%E -1.70%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.12%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 04:10
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 31.47%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.60%EV -7.81%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 02:20
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.17%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -9.50%E -3.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 04:09
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.57%EV -5.64%E -1.93%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.73%EV -8.17%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.69%EV -9.50%E -3.37%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 04:09
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 04:09
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 04:09
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.74%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:34
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.74%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:35
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.74%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:34
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -6.29%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -6.74%E -2.57%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 12:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 12:35
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 12:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.33%E -1.81%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 21:35
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.85%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 04:10
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 04:09
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.75%EV -8.55%E -3.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.93%EV -8.17%E -3.17%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -5.01%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:55
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:29
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:30
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:30
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:30
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -3.90%E -1.44%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.13%EV -6.39%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.86%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 01:24
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -6.93%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 12:35
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 12:34
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 21:39
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.52%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 21:35
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 14:05
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 12:35
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 12:40
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -6.39%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -8.54%E -3.00%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 13:50
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 14:05
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 14:04
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.57%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 16:50
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -14.37%E -5.42%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 03:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -14.37%E -5.42%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.14%E -3.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 03:35
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 33.30%EV -14.37%E -5.42%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.61%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 17:30
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.47%EV -15.01%E -5.71%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.52%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.47%EV -15.01%E -5.71%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.52%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -11.75%E -4.27%K -6.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 17:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-07-26 04:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.95%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.27%1.5%2026-07-26 04:15
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%1.8%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%1.8%2026-07-26 04:15
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.84%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.71%2.6%2026-07-26 04:15