Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América Mineiro v Goiás

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 21:30 UTC

Score final : América Mineiro 1–0 Goiás

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 35.94%2.78cote équitable
EV +0.618%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.343%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.24%35.67%35.90%36.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.622.602.8040.82%38.20%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Goiás (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.23%3.10cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.561%
Kelly -0.835%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.92%32.43%32.21%34.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.792.753.0540.00%35.89%36.36%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.84%3.14cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.03%31.90%31.89%32.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.862.873.0036.36%34.91%34.90%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América Mineiro (Local) : 35.94% ; Goiás (Visiteur) : 32.23% ; Match nul : 31.84%. Pour América Mineiro (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.78. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.618%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV +0.618%E +0.221%K +0.343%G +0.002%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 21:25
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.55%EV -2.62%E -0.965%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -3.64%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.22%EV -4.80%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 20:09
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.52%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.86%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -16.21%E -6.24%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 21:15
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -16.21%E -6.24%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -4.77%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -17.82%E -6.99%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 20:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.30%EV -4.77%E -1.80%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.61%EV -17.82%E -6.99%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.09%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-26 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.33%EV -5.49%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.33%EV -15.25%E -5.80%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.35%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 21:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.24%EV -5.49%E -2.09%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.97%EV -19.44%E -7.77%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 20:51
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 21:10
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 21:10
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -5.85%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -15.57%E -5.94%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 20:10
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 21:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 21:24
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.30%EV -7.03%E -2.41%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 21:25
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.48%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 21:15
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 21:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.73%EV -6.57%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -17.82%E -6.99%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.89%EV -12.44%E -4.52%K -7.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.56%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -1.71%E -0.561%K -0.835%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 21:26
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -3.97%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -10.21%E -3.62%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:25
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -3.97%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -10.21%E -3.62%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 21:25
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -7.29%E -2.82%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.32%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -3.32%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.16%E -2.86%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.18%EV -5.44%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 21:25
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.55%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.07%E -2.06%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -4.93%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 21:25
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.67%E -2.64%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 21:16
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.26%E -3.25%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 21:15
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.77%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 21:14
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.99%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.30%E -2.88%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-26 21:14
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:15
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.16%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.38%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 21:10
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 21:24
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.96%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -7.19%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.85%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 21:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.39%0.5%2026-07-26 21:25
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%1.5%2026-07-26 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%1.5%2026-07-26 21:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-07-26 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 35.85%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.18%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.96%1.8%2026-07-26 21:25