A Escola das OddsPortuguês
América Mineiro v Ceará
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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América Mineiro (Local)
Previsão 37.55%2.66odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.469%
Kelly -0.757%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.05%37.61%37.63%40.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.47%40.82%38.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ceará (Visitante)
Previsão 30.78%3.25odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.473%
Kelly -0.689%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.21%30.71%30.75%33.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.933.003.2037.74%34.08%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 31.67%3.16odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.39%31.68%31.62%33.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.35%34.48%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.62%EV -1.23%E -0.469%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.21%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.59%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 21:53 |
| Bovada | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -15.36%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -6.87%E -2.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.49%EV -7.62%E -3.10%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.35%EV -10.25%E -4.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -15.50%E -6.89%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.473%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |