La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
América Mineiro v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 37.55%2.66momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.757%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.05%37.61%37.63%40.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.47%40.82%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 30.78%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.689%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.21%30.71%30.75%33.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.933.003.2037.74%34.08%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.67%3.16momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.39%31.68%31.62%33.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.35%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.62%EV -1.23%E -0.469%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.21%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.59%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 21:53 |
| Bovada | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -15.36%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -6.87%E -2.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.49%EV -7.62%E -3.10%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.35%EV -10.25%E -4.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -15.50%E -6.89%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.473%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |