La scuola delle quote

América Mineiro v Ceará

Inizio: 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC

Finale: América Mineiro 1–1 Ceará

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 37.55%2.66quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.469%
Kelly -0.757%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.05%37.61%37.63%40.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.47%40.82%38.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ceará (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.78%3.25quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.473%
Kelly -0.689%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.21%30.71%30.75%33.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.933.003.2037.74%34.08%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.67%3.16quota equa
EV -3.41%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.39%31.68%31.62%33.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.35%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.62%EV -1.23%E -0.469%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.21%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 21:55
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:54
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:54
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 21:49
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 21:24
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.59%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 21:53
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 21:54
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 21:54
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 21:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 21:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 21:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 21:54
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -15.36%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 21:24
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -6.87%E -2.77%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 21:54
BetUS2.46I 40.65%NM 37.49%EV -7.62%E -3.10%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 21:20
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 20:49
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 21:34
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 20:49
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-17 21:54
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 21:54
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 21:54
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 21:54
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 20:14
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 20:14
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 20:49
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 20:14
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 21:54
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 21:54
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 21:54
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.35%EV -10.25%E -4.29%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 20:14
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 20:39
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 20:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 18:15
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -15.50%E -6.89%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.473%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-17 20:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21%0.2%2026-07-17 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21%0.2%2026-07-17 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21%0.2%2026-07-17 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21%0.2%2026-07-17 21:54
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%0.6%2026-07-17 21:55