L’École des cotesAmérica Mineiro v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
América Mineiro (Local)
Prévision 37.55%2.66cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.757%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.05%37.61%37.63%40.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.47%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.78%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.689%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.21%30.71%30.75%33.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.933.003.2037.74%34.08%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.67%3.16cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.39%31.68%31.62%33.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.912.903.0535.71%34.35%34.48%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.62%EV -1.23%E -0.469%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.21%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.11%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -2.36%E -0.908%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -10.06%E -3.54%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -13.83%E -4.94%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.63%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.20%EV -8.59%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 21:53 |
| Bovada | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.55%EV -4.99%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.12%E -2.45%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -15.36%E -5.59%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-17 21:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -6.87%E -2.77%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.12%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetUS | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.49%EV -7.62%E -3.10%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 21:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.05%E -0.970%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 21:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -9.21%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -7.99%E -3.26%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -16.90%E -6.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.11%EV -8.74%E -3.60%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -18.44%E -6.96%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.14%EV -9.12%E -3.77%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -7.52%E -2.58%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -4.59%E -1.48%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.67%E -2.56%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.33%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.87%E -4.11%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.35%EV -10.25%E -4.29%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -6.13%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-17 20:14 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -10.75%E -3.71%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-17 20:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.62%E -4.46%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.36%E -3.95%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-17 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -15.50%E -6.89%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -1.52%E -0.473%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-17 20:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.21% | 0.2% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.36% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06% | 0.6% | 2026-07-17 21:55 |