Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro v Athletic Club (MG)

2026-08-16 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

América Mineiro (Casa)

Previsione 42.05%2.38quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.73%42.10%42.11%44.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.142.202.202.2846.73%45.37%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.86%3.72quota equa
EV +3.67%
Vantaggio +0.951%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.047%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.55%26.76%26.73%29.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.303.253.8633.33%30.27%30.77%25.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.09%3.22quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.06%31.14%31.16%32.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.962.963.1035.71%33.75%33.73%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: América Mineiro (Casa): 42.05%; Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta): 26.86%; Pareggio: 31.09%. Per Athletic Club (MG) (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.72. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.86, con un valore atteso positivo del +3.67%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.28%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.55%EV +3.67%E +0.951%K +1.28%G +0.047%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.17%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 03:00
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.31%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.95%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.31%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.95%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.31%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.95%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 03:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.31%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.95%E -4.63%K -7.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 02:59
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.18%E -1.70%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 22:39
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.36%E -2.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 22:39
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.31%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -7.36%E -2.47%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 22:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 03:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 22:45
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.58%E -4.46%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 22:44
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 01:45
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:25
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:24
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -4.12%E -1.81%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 22:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.47%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 01:44
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.47%E -3.63%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.78%E -3.75%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 01:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.75%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.78%E -3.75%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 01:43
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.80%EV -6.22%E -2.79%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 22:24
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -7.48%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%EV -8.32%E -3.82%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.13%EV -18.08%E -5.93%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.12%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -8.74%E -4.03%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -18.08%E -5.93%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -8.29%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.80%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.10%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-09 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.80%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.10%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-09 22:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 41.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.13%2.76I 36.23%NM 30.97%17.0%2026-08-09 22:45