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América Mineiro v Athletic Club (MG)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
América Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 39.42%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -0.707%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.13%39.41%39.40%41.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.332.322.5145.45%43.01%43.10%39.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)
Predicción 28.61%3.50momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.543%
Kelly -0.766%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.34%28.57%28.74%30.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.203.4334.48%31.20%31.25%29.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.97%3.13momio equitativo
EV -4.08%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.41%32.02%31.86%33.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.872.873.0036.36%34.83%34.84%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: América Mineiro (Local): 39.42%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante): 28.61%; Empate: 31.97%. Para América Mineiro (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.54. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.51, con un valor esperado de -1.07%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.37%EV -1.07%E -0.425%K -0.707%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.08%EV -1.86%E -0.543%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -3.04%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.92%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 21:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.43%E -1.40%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.40%E -2.25%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -5.80%E -2.43%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -11.75%E -4.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.19%E -2.60%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 20:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 21:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.37%E -3.14%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -7.77%E -3.32%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -8.56%E -3.69%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.34%E -4.06%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -10.13%E -4.44%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-12 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 21:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.32%E -5.03%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -17.03%E -5.87%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.91%EV -12.10%E -5.43%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -12.73%E -4.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.90%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -12.10%E -5.43%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -12.73%E -4.18%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -13.29%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 20:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.29%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.29%E -6.04%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.17%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-16 21:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.20% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.20% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.20% | 0.4% | 2026-08-16 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.34% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.72% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.24% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 21:25 |