StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vitoria v Grêmio

Matchstart: 2026-09-07 23:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Vitoria 1–0 Grêmio

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Vitoria (Hemma)

Prognos 43.94%2.28rättvist odds
EV -1.14%
Fördel -0.507%
Kelly -0.913%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.19%43.90%43.97%44.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.90%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio (Borta)

Prognos 27.32%3.66rättvist odds
EV -0.543%
Fördel -0.149%
Kelly -0.206%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.05%27.26%27.32%28.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.383.403.6431.75%29.54%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.74%3.48rättvist odds
EV -2.86%
Fördel -0.846%
Kelly -1.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.38

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.78%28.83%28.72%30.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.193.203.3833.33%31.37%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Vitoria (Hemma): 43.94%; Grêmio (Borta): 27.32%; Oavgjort: 28.74%. För Grêmio (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.66. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.64, med väntevärdet -0.543%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -1.14%E -0.507%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -1.14%E -0.507%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:29
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -2.90%E -1.31%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.46%E -0.688%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.58%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:42
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.14%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.13%EV -2.18%E -0.610%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 22:55
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.00%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 22:55
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:30
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.37%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -7.65%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.30%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -3.15%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -3.15%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.64%E -0.454%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 22:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 22:15
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:14
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:53
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 22:35
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 22:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 22:35
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 22:29
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 22:29
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 22:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.64%E -0.454%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 22:14
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 22:14
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:35
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:35
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:14
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -13.93%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -13.93%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -8.17%E -3.91%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 22:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:14
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.26%EV -10.81%E -5.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 22:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.13%E -6.06%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 22:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.13%E -6.06%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 22:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-09-07 22:55
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-09-07 22:30