Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vitoria v Grêmio

Inizio: 2026-09-07 23:00 UTC

Finale: Vitoria 1–0 Grêmio

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Vitoria (Casa)

Previsione 43.94%2.28quota equa
EV -1.14%
Vantaggio -0.507%
Kelly -0.913%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.19%43.90%43.97%44.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.90%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.32%3.66quota equa
EV -0.543%
Vantaggio -0.149%
Kelly -0.206%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.05%27.26%27.32%28.21%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.383.403.6431.75%29.54%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.74%3.48quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -0.846%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.78%28.83%28.72%30.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.193.203.3833.33%31.37%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Vitoria (Casa): 43.94%; Grêmio (Trasferta): 27.32%; Pareggio: 28.74%. Per Grêmio (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.66. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.64, con un valore atteso del -0.543%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -1.14%E -0.507%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.65%EV -1.14%E -0.507%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-07 22:29
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -2.90%E -1.31%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.10%EV -2.46%E -0.688%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -4.58%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:42
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.14%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.13%EV -2.18%E -0.610%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.73%EV -2.86%E -0.846%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-07 22:55
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.00%E -0.846%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 19:19
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 22:55
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:30
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -3.34%E -1.52%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 22:29
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.37%EV -3.78%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.10%EV -7.65%E -2.26%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.52%EV -4.30%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -3.15%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -5.10%E -2.36%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -0.543%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -3.15%E -0.934%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-07 22:14
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.64%E -0.454%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 22:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 22:15
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 22:50
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:14
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 22:53
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 22:35
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 22:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 22:35
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 22:35
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -5.54%E -2.57%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 22:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 22:29
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.19%EV -5.97%E -2.79%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -12.34%E -4.05%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 22:29
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 22:20
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.64%E -0.454%K -0.629%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 22:14
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 22:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 22:14
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:35
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:35
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 22:14
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -13.93%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -7.73%E -3.68%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -13.93%E -4.42%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -8.17%E -3.91%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -4.01%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 22:14
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.60%E -2.03%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 22:14
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-07 22:45
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.93%E -4.84%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.78%E -4.59%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 22:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.26%EV -10.81%E -5.32%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.47%E -3.01%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 22:33
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -12.13%E -6.06%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -8.03%E -2.51%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 22:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -12.13%E -6.06%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -12.56%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.91%E -3.52%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 22:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-09-07 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-07 22:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-09-07 22:55
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-09-07 22:30