La scuola delle quote

Vasco da Gama v Grêmio

Inizio: 2026-03-22 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vasco da Gama (Casa)

Previsione 50.13%1.99quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -0.890%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.73%50.17%49.97%51.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.861.851.9660.24%53.90%54.05%51.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +5.37%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescita +0.079%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.86%22.72%22.84%24.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.044.004.6327.78%24.74%25.00%21.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.11%3.69quota equa
EV -2.40%
Vantaggio -0.666%
Kelly -0.922%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.88%27.12%27.19%28.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.39%29.41%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.82%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.86%EV +5.37%E +1.16%K +1.48%G +0.079%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.32%EV -7.55%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 18:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV +2.87%E +0.634%K +0.814%G +0.023%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV +2.87%E +0.634%K +0.814%G +0.023%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:00
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV +2.87%E +0.634%K +0.814%G +0.023%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:59
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV +1.27%E +0.286%K +0.369%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:59
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.86%EV +1.05%E +0.235%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.04%EV -2.67%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV +0.135%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV -1.46%E -0.337%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -7.76%E -4.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -1.46%E -0.337%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -8.90%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:59
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.498%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 18:58
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.14%E -0.498%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.498%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 18:59
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.20%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.85%EV -2.67%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.07%EV -1.75%E -0.890%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 18:59
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.15%EV -1.75%E -0.890%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 19:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 19:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -5.76%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 19:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 18:55
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -5.76%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -10.77%E -6.05%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 19:00
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -10.77%E -6.05%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -8.63%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:59
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -7.76%E -4.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.28%E -7.67%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.28%E -7.67%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.48%EV -16.78%E -10.11%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.05%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.47%EV -17.31%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -12.77%E -7.34%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.61%EV -13.28%E -7.67%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.03%EV -18.66%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%2.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%4.9%2026-03-22 19:00