مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vasco da Gama v Grêmio

البداية: 2026-03-22 19:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vasco da Gama (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.13%1.99السعر العادل
EV -1.75%
الأفضلية -0.890%
Kelly -1.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.96

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.73%50.17%49.97%51.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.861.851.9660.24%53.90%54.05%51.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.76%4.39السعر العادل
EV +5.37%
الأفضلية +1.16%
Kelly +1.48%
النمو +0.079%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.86%22.72%22.84%24.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.044.004.6327.78%24.74%25.00%21.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.11%3.69السعر العادل
EV -2.40%
الأفضلية -0.666%
Kelly -0.922%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.88%27.12%27.19%28.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.39%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.82%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.86%EV +5.37%E +1.16%K +1.48%G +0.079%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.32%EV -7.55%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 18:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV +2.87%E +0.634%K +0.814%G +0.023%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV +2.87%E +0.634%K +0.814%G +0.023%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:00
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.05%EV +2.87%E +0.634%K +0.814%G +0.023%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.50%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 18:59
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV +1.27%E +0.286%K +0.369%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 18:59
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.09%EV -4.75%E -2.50%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.86%EV +1.05%E +0.235%K +0.304%G +0.003%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.04%EV -2.67%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV +0.135%E +0.031%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.99%EV -6.76%E -3.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV -1.46%E -0.337%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -7.76%E -4.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -1.46%E -0.337%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.76%EV -8.90%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 18:59
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -2.14%E -0.498%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 18:58
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.05%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.14%E -0.498%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.14%E -0.498%K -0.649%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 18:59
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.20%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.85%EV -2.67%E -0.743%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 18:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.66%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.42%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 18:59
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.07%EV -1.75%E -0.890%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:59
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -3.75%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.69%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 18:59
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.15%EV -1.75%E -0.890%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.76%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 19:00
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 19:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 18:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 19:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.97%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 19:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -5.76%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -10.11%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 19:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -2.40%E -0.666%K -0.922%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.25%E -2.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.81%EV -3.75%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.46%E -1.87%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 18:59
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 18:55
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.26%E -3.35%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 18:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 18:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -5.76%E -3.06%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.89%EV -10.77%E -6.05%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.24%E -2.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 19:00
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -3.25%E -1.68%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 49.88%EV -9.77%E -5.43%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.24%EV -10.77%E -6.05%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -12.38%E -3.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -8.63%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 18:59
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.26%E -3.92%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 48.77%EV -7.76%E -4.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.28%E -7.67%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.72%EV -13.28%E -7.67%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 18:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.48%EV -16.78%E -10.11%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.05%EV -13.52%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.47%EV -17.31%E -5.67%K -8.44%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-22 19:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.16%EV -8.26%E -4.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -9.17%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -12.77%E -7.34%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -14.66%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.61%EV -13.28%E -7.67%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -18.07%E -5.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.03%EV -18.66%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-22 19:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.28%0.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-03-22 19:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%2.4%2026-03-22 19:00
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%4.9%2026-03-22 19:00