La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Vasco da Gama v Botafogo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Vasco da Gama (Casa)
Previsione 47.68%2.10quota equa
EV -1.78%
Vantaggio -0.864%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.89%47.73%47.74%49.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.961.962.0654.35%51.04%51.15%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Botafogo (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.47%4.09quota equa
EV +3.52%
Vantaggio +0.831%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescita +0.038%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.69%24.38%24.46%25.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.773.754.2328.99%26.50%26.67%23.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.85%3.59quota equa
EV -2.53%
Vantaggio -0.723%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.78%27.90%27.80%30.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.333.353.5035.71%30.02%29.85%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.81%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV +3.52%E +0.831%K +1.09%G +0.038% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.52%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.81%EV -2.81%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.84%E -5.80%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.34%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.34%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.54%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -2.26%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.82%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| GTbets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.40%EV -6.76%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.42%EV -8.94%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 16:45 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.84%E -5.80%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -3.21%E -1.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -7.50%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -3.21%E -1.58%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -7.50%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 23:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 23:37 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.55%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -11.31%E -6.08%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.95%EV -11.31%E -6.08%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -10.05%E -3.11%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 23:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.41%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.13%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.13%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -22.03%E -7.87%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-04 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -12.27%E -6.67%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -15.57%E -4.51%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 23:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 23:35 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 23:55 |