مدرسة الاحتمالات

Vasco da Gama v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-04-05 00:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Vasco da Gama (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.68%2.10السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.864%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.89%47.73%47.74%49.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.841.961.962.0654.35%51.04%51.15%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.47%4.09السعر العادل
EV +3.52%
الأفضلية +0.831%
Kelly +1.09%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.69%24.38%24.46%25.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.773.754.2328.99%26.50%26.67%23.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.85%3.59السعر العادل
EV -2.53%
الأفضلية -0.723%
Kelly -1.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.78%27.90%27.80%30.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.333.353.5035.71%30.02%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.81%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV +3.52%E +0.831%K +1.09%G +0.038%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.34%EV -5.04%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 23:54
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.52%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.81%EV -2.81%E -0.805%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-04 23:49
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:49
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 23:35
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV +0.334%E +0.082%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:34
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.84%E -5.80%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -2.11%E -0.528%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:35
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.37%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.88%EV -3.34%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:34
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.34%E -0.845%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.54%E -2.27%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:34
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.58%EV -2.26%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.94%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 23:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 23:49
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.56%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 23:49
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 23:44
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 47.09%EV -1.78%E -0.864%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 23:45
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.82%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -5.78%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:35
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.40%EV -6.76%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.42%EV -8.94%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 16:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 23:34
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:34
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 23:35
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -10.84%E -5.80%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -7.01%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 23:39
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -3.21%E -1.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -7.50%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:54
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 46.94%EV -3.21%E -1.58%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.21%EV -7.50%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.86%EV -4.76%E -1.39%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:54
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:29
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.53%E -0.723%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 23:37
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:30
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.23%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 23:45
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:45
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:45
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:44
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:44
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 23:35
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:39
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:39
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:35
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.07%E -3.08%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 23:45
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 23:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.45%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.89%E -3.40%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.55%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -6.71%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 23:45
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.03%EV -11.31%E -6.08%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 23:35
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.95%EV -11.31%E -6.08%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -10.68%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.61%EV -10.05%E -3.11%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 23:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.41%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.32%E -1.56%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 23:35
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 23:45
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.98%E -4.13%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.10%E -2.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 23:45
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.90%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.67%E -4.41%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.13%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 23:45
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -13.13%E -3.70%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 23:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -8.93%E -4.68%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -14.35%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -22.03%E -7.87%K -12.24%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-04 23:49
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -12.27%E -6.67%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -15.57%E -4.51%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.49%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 23:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-04 23:54
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.64%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.06%0.4%2026-04-04 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.34%0.8%2026-04-04 23:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-04 23:40
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-04-04 23:55