Школа коэффициентов

Sao Paulo v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC

Итог: Sao Paulo 1–1 Botafogo

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sao Paulo (Хозяева)

Прогноз 54.71%1.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.07%
Преимущество -1.16%
Kelly -2.63%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.79

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.69%54.78%54.60%56.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.691.701.7962.11%59.04%58.82%55.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 19.96%5.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.78%
Преимущество +0.349%
Kelly +0.435%
Рост +0.008%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.16%19.87%20.03%21.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.684.705.1024.39%21.35%21.28%19.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.34%3.95справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.19%
Преимущество -0.305%
Kelly -0.411%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.22%25.35%25.37%27.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.673.703.9032.26%27.22%27.03%25.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.93%EV +1.78%E +0.349%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -4.48%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 19:39
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV +1.78%E +0.349%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 19:49
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 19:49
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.95%E -0.504%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.95%E -0.504%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:19
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.72%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.23%EV -8.03%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 19:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 19:40
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:39
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:39
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 19:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 19:49
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -9.19%E -5.53%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 19:49
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.16%EV -2.62%E -1.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.47%EV -6.00%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 19:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 19:49
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:19
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:19
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.07%E -1.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.01%EV -8.00%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV -1.44%E -0.371%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 19:09
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:19
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:10
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:09
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 19:49
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 19:49
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.86%E -4.08%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 19:49
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -9.19%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.78%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 19:39
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 19:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 19:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.64%E -5.17%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 19:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -11.19%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 19:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -11.19%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 19:39
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -4.26%E -2.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 19:32
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.46%E -6.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-23 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.18%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.05%EV -11.92%E -7.40%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.71%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -18.18%E -4.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 19:19
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.93%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.03%-0.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.08%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-05-23 19:49