A Escola das Odds

Sao Paulo v Botafogo

Início: 2026-05-23 20:00 UTC

Final: Sao Paulo 1–1 Botafogo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sao Paulo (Local)

Previsão 54.71%1.83odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.69%54.78%54.60%56.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.691.701.7962.11%59.04%58.82%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Visitante)

Previsão 19.96%5.01odd justa
EV +1.78%
Vantagem +0.349%
Kelly +0.435%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.16%19.87%20.03%21.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.104.684.705.1024.39%21.35%21.28%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.34%3.95odd justa
EV -1.19%
Vantagem -0.305%
Kelly -0.411%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.22%25.35%25.37%27.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.673.703.9032.26%27.22%27.03%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.47%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.93%EV +1.78%E +0.349%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -4.48%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 19:39
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV +1.78%E +0.349%K +0.435%G +0.008%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 19:49
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.74%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 19:49
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.95%E -0.504%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.95%E -0.504%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:19
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.72%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.23%EV -8.03%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 19:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -7.54%E -4.46%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 19:19
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:49
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -0.214%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 19:40
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:39
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:39
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -5.90%E -3.43%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:39
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.21%E -0.451%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 19:39
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.80%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:49
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -4.21%E -0.876%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 19:19
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 19:49
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.79%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 19:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -9.19%E -5.53%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -5.20%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 19:49
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 54.16%EV -2.62%E -1.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.47%EV -6.00%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-23 19:19
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.81%E -2.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:39
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.73%E -5.90%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 19:49
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:19
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 19:19
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -2.07%E -1.16%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.01%EV -8.00%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV -1.44%E -0.371%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-23 19:49
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -1.19%E -0.305%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 19:09
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:19
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.72%E -0.980%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 19:19
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:10
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:10
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:09
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 19:49
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.53%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-23 19:49
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.86%E -4.08%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-23 19:49
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -9.19%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -7.78%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 19:39
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.45%E -3.77%K -9.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-23 19:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.26%E -1.69%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 19:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.64%E -5.17%K -12.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -10.19%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 19:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -11.19%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 19:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -4.26%E -2.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -11.19%E -2.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 19:39
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -4.26%E -2.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.33%E -3.24%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 19:39
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-23 19:32
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.37%E -7.02%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.46%E -6.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-23 19:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.39%EV -8.09%E -4.82%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -14.18%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -4.99%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.05%EV -11.92%E -7.40%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.23%EV -12.59%E -3.65%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-23 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.71%EV -10.28%E -6.27%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -18.18%E -4.43%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.81%EV -10.06%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-23 19:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.93%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.03%-0.1%2026-05-23 19:49
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80%0.7%2026-05-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-23 19:49
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.08%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-05-23 19:49