语言:简体中文
Santos v Atletico Paranaense
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Santos (主队)
预测 45.00%2.22公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.09%
Kelly -2.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.17
博彩公司预测分布
43.66%44.94%45.07%46.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.072.082.1752.08%48.20%48.08%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
Atletico Paranaense (客队)
预测 26.11%3.83公平赔率
EV +0.267%
优势 +0.070%
Kelly +0.094%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.84
博彩公司预测分布
24.96%26.17%26.06%28.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.513.503.8430.77%28.49%28.57%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.89%3.46公平赔率
EV -3.21%
优势 -0.957%
Kelly -1.36%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
27.83%28.89%28.87%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.203.253.3533.33%31.24%30.77%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Santos (主队)：45.00%；Atletico Paranaense (客队)：26.11%；平局：28.89%。 对于“Atletico Paranaense (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.84，对应+0.267%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.37%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.17%EV +0.267%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.06%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.777%E -0.204%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.45%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.08%E -0.555%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.39%E -0.916%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.39%E -0.916%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 21:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.31%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.81%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.48%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 06:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -13.61%E -7.09%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -10.91%E -5.51%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.85%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.92%E -2.87%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -10.91%E -5.51%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -6.86%E -3.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.69%EV -7.31%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -9.11%E -4.51%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -9.11%E -4.51%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -9.11%E -4.51%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |