Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.17
avec la cote maximale 3.84
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Santos (Local) : 45.00% ; Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur) : 26.11% ; Match nul : 28.89%. Pour Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.84, soit une espérance positive de +0.267%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.37%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.17%EV +0.267%E +0.070%K +0.094%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.46%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.34%EV -4.16%E -1.95%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.22%EV +0.006%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -5.23%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.06%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.777%E -0.204%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.45%EV -4.94%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.08%E -0.555%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -3.39%E -0.916%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.39%E -0.916%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.23%EV -3.26%E -1.52%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 21:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.25%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.69%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.31%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -4.95%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 21:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.81%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.48%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 06:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.27%EV -2.36%E -1.09%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -3.21%E -0.957%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -13.61%E -7.09%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -7.30%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-09 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 19:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -10.91%E -5.51%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.61%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.84%EV -9.85%E -3.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.92%E -2.87%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -4.61%E -2.17%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.01%E -5.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.22%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.05%EV -10.91%E -5.51%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-09 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.51%E -2.62%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.41%E -3.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -7.76%E -3.79%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.77%EV -6.86%E -3.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.77%EV -8.99%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.69%EV -7.31%E -3.55%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.83%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 20:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -9.11%E -4.51%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -9.11%E -4.51%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.79%EV -9.11%E -4.51%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.21%EV -15.14%E -4.66%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.88%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 20:45 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.84% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.76% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |