La scuola delle quote

Santos v Atletico Paranaense

2026-08-09 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

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19 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Santos (Casa)

Previsione 39.58%2.53quota equa
EV -3.02%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.26%39.57%39.40%40.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.322.352.4546.51%43.03%42.55%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Paranaense (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.07%3.22quota equa
EV -3.67%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.86%31.02%31.14%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.962.953.1036.36%33.83%33.90%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.34%3.41quota equa
EV -3.17%
Vantaggio -0.961%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.54%29.41%29.46%30.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.113.103.3034.48%32.13%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.16%EV -3.02%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.89%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 16:45
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.00%E -2.08%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -3.17%E -0.961%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.16%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -8.45%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:25
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 20:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.27%EV -7.40%E -2.48%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.57%E -2.40%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 20:30
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 14:50
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 14:50
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 14:50
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -5.79%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-27 14:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.17%E -0.961%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 16:45
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.22%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -3.17%E -0.961%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.78%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.17%E -0.961%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:49
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -6.98%E -2.97%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.33%E -2.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -4.64%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 16:49
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.67%E -1.18%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 14:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -8.96%E -3.89%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.51%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.04%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 16:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -12.92%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -14.55%E -5.29%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-27 16:49
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -14.90%E -6.93%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -11.97%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -14.90%E -6.93%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -9.88%E -3.41%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -14.91%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -14.90%E -6.93%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.38%EV -11.44%E -4.01%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -13.44%E -4.56%K -6.89%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10