La scuola delle quote

Remo v Palmeiras

Inizio: 2026-05-10 20:30 UTC

Finale: Remo 1–1 Palmeiras

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Remo (Casa)

Previsione 23.96%4.17quota equa
EV +7.81%
Vantaggio +1.74%
Kelly +2.23%
Crescita +0.174%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.56%23.73%24.02%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.084.104.5027.78%24.49%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.64%2.06quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.63%48.80%48.57%51.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.851.832.0057.80%54.09%54.64%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.41%3.65quota equa
EV +0.032%
Vantaggio +0.009%
Kelly +0.012%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.52%27.47%27.40%28.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.393.403.6533.33%29.54%29.41%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +7.81%E +1.74%K +2.23%G +0.174%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 20:14
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV +7.81%E +1.74%K +2.23%G +0.174%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 20:14
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.22%E +0.970%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 20:19
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.22%E +0.970%K +1.26%G +0.053%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 20:19
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV +3.74%E +0.864%K +1.12%G +0.042%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 20:15
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -10.51%E -5.71%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 20:19
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:19
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:19
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:20
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:20
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 20:19
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV +0.626%E +0.149%K +0.196%G +0.001%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 20:20
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV +0.626%E +0.149%K +0.196%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.04%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 20:14
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 20:20
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 20:24
PMU (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 20:20
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -14.40%E -8.18%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 20:19
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -14.40%E -8.18%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 20:19
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.65%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 19:58
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -15.86%E -9.17%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -17.78%E -5.93%K -8.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-10 20:13
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 19:59
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 19:59
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 19:59
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 19:59
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 20:18
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.44%EV -15.37%E -8.84%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-10 20:19
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 19:58
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.73%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 20:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-05-10 20:24
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01%1.4%2026-05-10 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-10 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-10 20:24
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%6.5%2026-05-10 20:24
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 23.66%1.67I 59.88%NM 47.17%2.70I 37.04%NM 29.18%26.9%2026-05-10 20:25