La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Remo v Palmeiras
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Remo (Local)
Predicción 23.96%4.17momio equitativo
EV +7.81%
Ventaja +1.74%
Kelly +2.23%
Crecimiento +0.174%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.56%23.73%24.02%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.084.104.5027.78%24.49%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Palmeiras (Visitante)
Predicción 48.64%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.63%48.80%48.57%51.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.832.0057.80%54.09%54.64%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.41%3.65momio equitativo
EV +0.032%
Ventaja +0.009%
Kelly +0.012%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.52%27.47%27.40%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6533.33%29.54%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +7.81%E +1.74%K +2.23%G +0.174% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV +7.81%E +1.74%K +2.23%G +0.174% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.22%E +0.970%K +1.26%G +0.053% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.22%E +0.970%K +1.26%G +0.053% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV +3.74%E +0.864%K +1.12%G +0.042% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 20:15 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -10.51%E -5.71%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV +0.626%E +0.149%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV +0.626%E +0.149%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.04%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -14.40%E -8.18%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -14.40%E -8.18%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.65%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 19:58 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -15.86%E -9.17%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -17.78%E -5.93%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-10 20:13 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 20:18 |
| Fliff | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.44%EV -15.37%E -8.84%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 19:58 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.73%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 23.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 47.17% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 29.18% | 26.9% | 2026-05-10 20:25 |