L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Remo v Palmeiras
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Remo (Local)
Prévision 23.96%4.17cote équitable
EV +7.81%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.174%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.56%23.73%24.02%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.104.5027.78%24.49%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Palmeiras (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.64%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.63%48.80%48.57%51.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.832.0057.80%54.09%54.64%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.41%3.65cote équitable
EV +0.032%
Avantage +0.009%
Kelly +0.012%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.52%27.47%27.40%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6533.33%29.54%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV +7.81%E +1.74%K +2.23%G +0.174% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV +7.81%E +1.74%K +2.23%G +0.174% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.22%E +0.970%K +1.26%G +0.053% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV +4.22%E +0.970%K +1.26%G +0.053% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.22%EV -8.08%E -4.27%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.52%EV +0.032%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV +3.74%E +0.864%K +1.12%G +0.042% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -12.30%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 20:15 |
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -10.51%E -5.71%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +1.82%E +0.429%K +0.561%G +0.010% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -11.00%E -6.01%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV +0.626%E +0.149%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -11.97%E -6.61%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| Sky Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV +0.626%E +0.149%K +0.196%G +0.001% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.04%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 20:14 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.45%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| TABtouch | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -13.43%E -7.54%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -14.40%E -8.18%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -1.77%E -0.432%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -14.40%E -8.18%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -8.19%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Bovada | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -5.65%E -2.91%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 19:58 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.11%E -3.72%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -4.17%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.77%EV -15.86%E -9.17%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -17.78%E -5.93%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-10 20:13 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.08%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.56%E -1.68%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -10.02%E -5.42%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.56%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.96%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.16%E -2.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 19:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -3.70%E -1.87%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 20:18 |
| Fliff | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -11.35%E -3.07%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 49.44%EV -15.37%E -8.84%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -13.67%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.55%E -3.44%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.85%EV -12.46%E -6.92%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.93%E -3.36%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 19:58 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -13.75%E -3.82%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.73%E -1.36%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.82%E -2.01%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 20:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.56% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 23.66% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 47.17% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 29.18% | 26.9% | 2026-05-10 20:25 |