Szkoła Kursów

Mirassol v Grêmio

Początek: 2026-07-17 23:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Mirassol 2–1 Grêmio

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mirassol (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 48.89%2.05kurs godziwy
EV -3.20%
Przewaga -1.61%
Kelly -3.26%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.98

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.03%48.82%48.88%50.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.801.901.911.9855.56%52.67%52.36%50.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Grêmio (Goście)

Prognoza 22.89%4.37kurs godziwy
EV +2.10%
Przewaga +0.470%
Kelly +0.606%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.63%22.94%22.91%25.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.704.084.104.4627.03%24.48%24.39%22.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 28.22%3.54kurs godziwy
EV +0.171%
Przewaga +0.048%
Kelly +0.067%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.81%28.23%28.21%29.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.313.313.5533.33%30.18%30.21%28.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -5.15%E -2.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.63%EV +2.10%E +0.470%K +0.606%G +0.013%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.63%EV -4.91%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 22:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.171%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:49
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.171%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:49
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 19:44
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 19:44
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79%EV -4.17%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:25
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -3.20%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV -2.25%E -0.527%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.28%EV -3.21%E -0.937%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 22:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:24
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 22:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:23
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 22:24
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.48%EV -3.20%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.13%EV -5.00%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.63%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 20:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 17:24
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 22:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 22:49
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 22:49
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 22:54
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.04%EV -5.15%E -2.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 22:53
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 22:54
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 22:53
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 22:24
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 22:54
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 22:29
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:49
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 22:34
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.43%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.89%EV -10.04%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 22:34
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 22:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:54
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:54
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 17:24
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 22:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.33%EV -10.04%E -5.46%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 17:24
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -14.16%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.30%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:54
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -15.30%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -2.65%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.01%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -15.30%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-17 17:24
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-17 22:50