مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mirassol v Grêmio

البداية: 2026-07-17 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Mirassol 2–1 Grêmio

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mirassol (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.89%2.05السعر العادل
EV -3.20%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -3.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.98

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.03%48.82%48.88%50.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.901.911.9855.56%52.67%52.36%50.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grêmio (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.89%4.37السعر العادل
EV +2.10%
الأفضلية +0.470%
Kelly +0.606%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.46

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.63%22.94%22.91%25.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.084.104.4627.03%24.48%24.39%22.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.22%3.54السعر العادل
EV +0.171%
الأفضلية +0.048%
Kelly +0.067%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.81%28.23%28.21%29.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.313.313.5533.33%30.18%30.21%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -5.15%E -2.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.63%EV +2.10%E +0.470%K +0.606%G +0.013%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.63%EV -4.91%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 22:35
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.171%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:49
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV +0.171%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 22:49
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 19:44
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 19:44
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.38%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.91%EV -0.421%E -0.097%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -6.32%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 19:44
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.79%EV -4.17%E -2.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:25
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.24%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -1.57%E -0.364%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.00%EV -3.20%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.72%EV -2.25%E -0.527%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.28%EV -3.21%E -0.937%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:34
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.71%E -0.638%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 22:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 22:24
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:24
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 22:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-17 22:23
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.45%EV -10.53%E -5.75%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.85%E -0.918%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 22:24
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.48%EV -3.20%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.13%EV -5.00%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.40%EV -4.63%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-17 20:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 22:54
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 17:24
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 22:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 22:49
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.25%EV -11.51%E -6.36%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 22:49
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.14%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 22:54
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.04%EV -5.15%E -2.66%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -7.29%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -9.14%E -2.84%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 22:53
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-17 22:54
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.06%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 22:53
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 22:24
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 22:54
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 22:29
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.95%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:49
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.57%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.43%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.53%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:24
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -5.64%E -2.92%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.58%E -2.42%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.90%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 22:34
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.43%EV -11.02%E -6.05%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.89%EV -10.04%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 22:34
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.11%E -3.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 22:29
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:54
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:54
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.62%E -3.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 22:54
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-17 17:24
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.82%EV -9.55%E -5.16%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.75%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -15.35%E -5.12%K -7.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 22:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.33%EV -10.04%E -5.46%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -11.87%E -3.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 17:24
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -4.66%E -2.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -14.16%E -3.77%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.61%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -15.30%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:54
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.13%E -3.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -15.30%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -2.65%E -0.768%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 22:54
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.01%EV -12.00%E -6.66%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -15.30%E -4.14%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.14%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-17 17:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.62%1.3%2026-07-17 22:54
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.66%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%1.7%2026-07-17 22:54
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-07-17 22:50